Submitted by Steve Selengut
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A Dismal Decade? No Way With Market Cycle Investing
From the end of 1999 through the end of 2009, all of the popular Wall Street market performance measurement tools were in the red. The average bloodletting level of the DJIA, the S & P 500, and the NASDAQ was a disturbing-to-some minus nineteen percent.
The Media dubbed it "The Dismal Decade".
Most of the investment community was either open-mouthed in shock or strident in blame about the somethings or someones who must have been responsible for such horrific performance. Never again they swore to their clients--- without ever a hint that they might themselves have been the problem.
It was't be long before the Wizards of Wall Street announced that they had studied the situation, and readied their sales minions to switch the shattered investment public into yet another fail proof (fool-magnet?) portfolio of hedges, gimmicks, signal responders, and panaceas for whatever the new decade would bring.
Once again they attempted to debug the market cycle and create an upward only future for the masses. But the markets weren't broken, just the market shakers. Your portfolio could have been up in market value--- and not by just a little for the "dismal decade".
These are the same geniuses that created the dotcom bubble by cramming valueless securities and speculative IPOs down your throats. They are the same charlatans who created the derivative markets and fraudulently hid their gaming devices in innocent looking rolls of tissue paper.
Wall Street thrives on the boom and bust scenario--- because it doesn't really matter to them how many of you win or lose. The evidence is clear; a boring-but-winning approach has been out there (and ignored) for four equally productive decades. The investment gods are outraged!
The past decade was a fabulous decade for old-fashioned value investors, particularly those with a reasonable selling discipline in their methodology!
It was a fabulous decade for those who understood that quality, diversification, and income generation are principles as opposed to media placating buzzwords.
It was a fabulous decade for those investors who were able to see over, beyond, and through artificial time constraints to find the long-term opportunities within every beautiful market cycle undulation. There were plenty of gyrations to gyrate to if you only knew how.
Investing is no longer a passive enterprise; and it never really was. If you can't manage your portfolio throughout the market cycle, without succumbing either to greed, to panic, or to artificial and complicated hedging strategies, just stop. Right now. Listen and learn something old.
The only market cycle hedges needed are quality, diversification, and income--- all classically defined. Throw in some disciplined selection and selling guidelines, a cost-based asset allocation formula, and a non-calendar year perspective and success will follow--- cyclically.
You may miss a speculative spike or two (i.e., bubbles), but in the long run, Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) is a makes sense methodology for long run investment success.
You just can't replace market cycle reality with calendar year gimmickry. Do better. Attend a FREE MCIM webinar.
Change is good.
(c) 2013 by Steve Selengut
Market Cycle Investment Management
3912 Betsy Kerrison Pkwy
Johns Island, SC 29455
Phone (800) 245-0494 • Fax (843) 243-8509
Contact Steve directly for additional information: 800-245-0494
Or Send Steve an Email
|Please read this disclaimer:|
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment adviser representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of any business entity; the information is only intended to be educational and thought provoking.
Click here to obtain a free copy of Steve's book, "The Book That Wall Street doesn't Want YOU to Read"
The Working Capital Model - Market Cycle Investment Management - FREE Mentoring Program
Professional Investor/Manager Steve Selengut, and an experienced panel of experts, walk you through the Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) portfolio management process. We'll hold your hand, answer your questions, and do everything we can short of security selection as you learn how to run your own (or your client's) portfolio.
The Mentoring Program is FREE, and includes:
- The "Road To Success" Investment Training Program (minimum of 3 sessions)
- The "Performance Investors Want & How to Get It" program (if applicable)
- The "Market Cycle Investment Management" program
The mentoring program is no longer private --- at least six people (all "Brainwashing" book owners) must attend each meeting.
Note: Headsets will make the experience much more productive.
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|Please read this disclaimer:|
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment advisor representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own and do not represent the views of any other entity. None of his commentary is or should be considered either investment advice or a solicitation of business. Anyone seeking individualized investment advice should contact a qualified investment adviser. None of the information presented in this article is intended to be or should be construed as an endorsement of any entity or organization. The reader should not assume that any strategies, or investments mentioned are any more than illustrations --- they are never recommendations, and others will most certainly disagree with the thoughts presented in the article.