Worst Month in Six Years; New Lows in ALL Sectors

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52-Week Lows Exceed Highs Two Months Running... 1st since 2011

Negative Days (15) 3x Positive (5)... Worst Month Since 2009

Another useful tool for analyzing an index of your selection universe is a comparison between the number of issues establishing new 52-week high ground vs. those sinking to new 52-week lows. The longer the numbers are overwhelmingly positive, the more likely it is that a correction is approaching.

Superficial analysis is very straight forward --- there should be more new highs in an upward trending market and more new lows during a correction. Typically, New Highs vs. New Lows is the last market statistic to weaken...

  • Over the past 77 months (Since April '09), months with more new highs (71) have exceeded months with more new lows (6) by a huge margin (please contact me for the exhibit) --- including 56 of the past 61.

 New High vs. New Low Numbers Move Into "Correction" Territory

Have you taken your stock market profits and/or increased your income during the biggest rally in the history of mankind? 401k and Mutual Fund managers rarely take profits... AND absolutely never even think about "INCOME".

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The New High and New Low issue stats also identify weaker and/or stronger sectors within the IGVSI selection universe --- very important in helping investors determine where the bargains are and where the profit taking opportunities should be.

Remember to be quick on your profit-taking feet, using the two 7's beats one 10 "Brainwashing Book" strategy.  The correction you've anticipated may have arrived --- there has never, not ever, been a permanent upward only stock (or bond) market.

What's this all about? Check your copy of "Brainwashing" or contact the only authorized Market Cycle Investment Management practitioner on the planet --- yes, there is only one, and this guy can put you in touch...

 

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Steve Selengut is registered as an investment adviser representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of any business entity; the information is only intended to be educational and thought provoking.


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Please read this disclaimer:
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment advisor representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own and do not represent the views of any other entity. None of his commentary is or should be considered either investment advice or a solicitation of business. Anyone seeking individualized investment advice should contact a qualified investment adviser. None of the information presented in this article is intended to be or should be construed as an endorsement of any entity or organization. The reader should not assume that any strategies, or investments mentioned are any more than illustrations --- they are never recommendations, and others will most certainly disagree with the thoughts presented in the article.