January Market Stats Negative, BUT...

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 January IGVSI S & P Down; MCIM Portfolios UP on Income CEF Strength

Income CEF Prices 3% Higher in January; Yields Remain Above 6%

Issue Breadth, 52-Week Hi vs Low #'s, Breaking Bad in January

Bargain Stock Monitor Strongest in Years... Some Non-Energy Sectors

When equity prices "bubble", many investors sell their safer positions to jump into stocks at "ATH" prices... when bubbles burst, safer securities thrive.

No investor should be surprised by changes in market value on monthly account statements. Media noise throughout the month should prepare you for what's going on, as prices change constantly.

Have You Taken Your Profits? 

The future is unpredictable, but understanding the past and how it impacts your portfolio, is essential to your long-run investment comfort --- and sanity. This Performance Expectation Analyzer has been developed for MCIM investors who want to understand their account statements better.

No account statements present proper asset allocation information where there are income CEFs --- they show them as common stock positions... they also provide grossly inaccurate bond prices.

The IGVS Performance Analyzer applies exclusively to Market Cycle Investment Management Programs. It has four elements:

ONE: The IGVSI and S & P fell in January. See the Peak-Trough-Peak Chart. MCIM portfolios are 60% or less in equities and the equities are all income producers.

MCIM portfolios were mostly positive in January, from income production and rising CEF, REIT, and MLP prices.

TWO: The IGVS Bargain Monitor grew larger due to the slump in the energy sector.

NOTE: The information provided here is not intended to be a prediction of anything. It is most relevant for portfolios with at least 60% invested in Equities. Study The Brainwashing of the American Investor... you'll understand.

THREE: IGVS Issue Breadth Stats:  Sixth consecutive year in positive territory... history predicts a change.

FOUR: IGVS New 52-Week High vs. New 52-Week Low Statistics weakest since 2011.  

Negatives: The S & P is above the IGVSI; Breadth was less positive, High vs. Low numbers were weaker; Bargains are mainly in one sector...

Positives: Most #'s remain positive, but less so... we've been positive for six years this March. Is it sustainable?

Income CEFs rose more than 3% in January while generous yields above 6% continued. Working Capital and Market Value grew in January, from both base income and profit taking.

Remember MCIMers: Working Capital and Base Income continue to grow with or without market value gains... is that cool, or what! 

Even if the stock market plunges, both Working Capital & Base Income will (most likely and logically) continue to grow so long as withdrawals remain lower than the base income itself. Ya follow?

Equity "Smart Cash" levels are stable, as buying opportunities are narrowly focused in energy issues.

Monthly Statement Prognosis: Most portfolios (particularly income portfolios) will be higher in market value unless significant net withdrawals were made.

SERIOUS NOTE: In all environments, always try to add more to your portfolio than you remove. Also, try to think of lower prices (in income CEFs for example) as opportunities instead of problems... that's what they have always proven to be.

Click here for more information --- from the only authorized MCIM investment managers on the planet.


 
Market Cycle Investment Management
3912 Betsy Kerrison Pkwy
Johns Island, SC 29455
Phone (800) 245-0494 • Fax (843) 243-8509
Contact Steve directly for additional information: 800-245-0494

Please read this disclaimer:
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment adviser representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of any business entity; the information is only intended to be educational and thought provoking.


The Working Capital Model - Market Cycle Investment Management - FREE Mentoring Program

Professional Investor/Manager Steve Selengut, and an experienced panel of experts, walk you through the Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) portfolio management process. We'll hold your hand, answer your questions, and do everything we can short of security selection as you learn how to run your own (or your client's) portfolio.

The Mentoring Program is FREE, and includes:

  • The "Road To Success" Investment Training Program (minimum of 3 sessions)
  • The "Performance Investors Want & How to Get It" program (if applicable) 
  • The "Market Cycle Investment Management" program

The mentoring program is no longer private --- at least six people (all "Brainwashing" book owners) must attend each meeting.

Note:  Headsets will make the experience much more productive.

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Please read this disclaimer:
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment advisor representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own and do not represent the views of any other entity. None of his commentary is or should be considered either investment advice or a solicitation of business. Anyone seeking individualized investment advice should contact a qualified investment adviser. None of the information presented in this article is intended to be or should be construed as an endorsement of any entity or organization. The reader should not assume that any strategies, or investments mentioned are any more than illustrations --- they are never recommendations, and others will most certainly disagree with the thoughts presented in the article.