Market Correction One Year Anniversary May 21st? Income CEF Rally Continues...

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 MCIM Market Values Benefit from Energy Sector & Income CEF Surges

Tax Free Income CEF Yields Fall...Prices At 52-week Highs

MCIM Profit Taking Activity Surges While S & P Malaise Enters Month Twelve

Bargain Stocks Tough to Find; Profit Opps Not So Much

When equity prices "bubble", many investors sell their safer positions to jump into stocks at "ATH" prices... when bubbles burst, safer securities start to thrive.

No investor should be surprised by changes in market value on monthly account statements. Media noise throughout the month should prepare you for what's going on.

The future is unpredictable, but developing reasonable portfolio expectations is essential to your long-run investment comfort --- and sanity. The Performance Expectation Analyzer has been developed for MCIM investors who want to better understand their monthly performance numbers.

NOTE: that no account statements present proper asset allocation information where there are income CEFs, REITs & MLPs; they also provide grossly inaccurate individual bond prices.

The IGVS Performance Analyzer applies exclusively to Market Cycle Investment Management Programs. It has four elements:

ONE: The IGVSI is 24% ahead of the S & P 500 over the past 9 years. (see the Peak-Trough-Peak Chart); monthly income, the CEF rally, and realized gains more than offset stock market weakness thus far in 2016.

TWO: The IGVS Bargain Monitor has shriveled up in recent weeks; few bargains remain in the IGVSI Universe.

NOTE: The information provided here is not predictive of anything. It is most relevant for portfolios with at least 60% invested in Equities. Study The Brainwashing of the American Investor... you'll understand.

THREE: IGVS Issue Breadth Stats:  Negative through most of 2015, showed renewed rally signs in both March and April.

FOUR: IGVSI New Highs vs. New Lows:  turned positive in April, as a result of stronger oil prices

Negatives: None, for MCIM portfolios, other than the duration of market weakness.

Positives: Recent strength in Energy issues and the surge in income CEFs

Long Term... only the shadow knows... we're through eleven months of a slow moving, shallow, correction, down just 3% from the latest high; about 13% above the February 11th low.

Income CEFs prices are positive thus far in 2016... tax free much moreso than taxable: yields remain around 5.5% tax free, and above 7.5%taxable. Working Capital and "base income" continue to grow.

Remember MCIMers: Working Capital and Base Income continue to grow with or without market value gains... is that cool, or what! 

YES, even if the stock market plunges, Working Capital & Base Income should continue to grow so long as withdrawals remain lower than income.

Equity "Smart Cash" levels grew again by month end, as buying opps become scarce.

Monthly Statement Prognosis: Most "income" portfolio values are at new ATHs and all portfolios continue to produce outstanding income. 

BIG BUT: Income CEFs will continue to cut payouts so long as the government holds interest rates at historically low levels. Strategically, it's time to make sure you are not spending more than 70% of what you are earning.

SERIOUS NOTE: In all environments, always try to add more to your portfolio than you remove. Also, try to think of lower prices (in income CEFs for example) as opportunities instead of problems... that's what they have always proven to be.

For more information, call 800-245-0494 or e-mail Steve (sanserveataoldotcom).

Market Cycle Investment Management
3912 Betsy Kerrison Pkwy
Johns Island, SC 29455
Phone (800) 245-0494 • Fax (843) 243-8509
Contact Steve directly for additional information: 800-245-0494

Please read this disclaimer:
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment adviser representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own. None of the information presented here should be construed as an endorsement of any business entity; the information is only intended to be educational and thought provoking.

The Working Capital Model - Market Cycle Investment Management - FREE Mentoring Program

Professional Investor/Manager Steve Selengut, and an experienced panel of experts, walk you through the Market Cycle Investment Management (MCIM) portfolio management process. We'll hold your hand, answer your questions, and do everything we can short of security selection as you learn how to run your own (or your client's) portfolio.

The Mentoring Program is FREE, and includes:

  • The "Road To Success" Investment Training Program (minimum of 3 sessions)
  • The "Performance Investors Want & How to Get It" program (if applicable) 
  • The "Market Cycle Investment Management" program

The mentoring program is no longer private --- at least six people (all "Brainwashing" book owners) must attend each meeting.

Note:  Headsets will make the experience much more productive.


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Please read this disclaimer:
Steve Selengut is registered as an investment advisor representative. His assessments and opinions are purely his own and do not represent the views of any other entity. None of his commentary is or should be considered either investment advice or a solicitation of business. Anyone seeking individualized investment advice should contact a qualified investment adviser. None of the information presented in this article is intended to be or should be construed as an endorsement of any entity or organization. The reader should not assume that any strategies, or investments mentioned are any more than illustrations --- they are never recommendations, and others will most certainly disagree with the thoughts presented in the article.