The Market Cycle Investment Management methodology is the sum of all the strategies, procedures, controls, and guidelines explained and illustrated within the pages of "The Brainwashing of the American Investor" --- the Greatest Investment Story Never Told.
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Most investors, and many investment professionals, choose their securities, run their portfolios, and base their decisions on the emotional energy they pick up on the Internet, in media sound bytes, and through the product offerings of Wall Street institutional boiler rooms. They move cyclically from fear to greed and back again, most often gyrating in precisely the wrong direction, at or near precisely the wrong time.
The MCIM methodology combines risk minimization, asset allocation, equity trading, investment grade value stock investing, and base income generation in an environment whose time frame recognizes and embraces the reality of cycles. It attempts to take advantage of widespread "fear and greed" decision-making by others, using a disciplined, patient, and common sense process.
This methodology embraces the cyclical nature of markets, interest rates, and economies --- and the political, social, and natural events that can trigger changes in cyclical direction. Little weight is given either to the short-term movement of indices and averages, or to the idea that the calendar year is the playing field for the investment "game".
Interestingly, the cycles themselves prove the irrelevance of calendar year analysis, and a little extra volatility throws Modern Portfolio Theory into a tailspin. What index or average comes even close in content to your unique portfolio of securities?
The MCIM methodology is not a market timing device in any sense of the word, but its disciplines will force managers to add equities during corrections and to take profits enthusiastically during rallies. As a natural (and planned) effect, portfolio "smart cash" levels will increase during upward cycles, and decrease as buying opportunities increase during downward cycles.
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MCIM managers make no attempt to pick market bottoms or tops, and strict rules apply to both buying and selling disciplines. NOTE: these rules are covered in minute detail in "The Brainwashing of the American Investor" (click the banner above to the right. It leads to a PayPal purchase page, or contact Author Steve Selengut directly.)
Managing an MCIM portfolio requires disciplined attention to rules that are designed to minimize the risks of investing. Stocks are selected from a small, easy to manage, universe of Investment Grade Value Stocks. The companies are mostly large capitalization, multi-national, profitable, dividend paying, NYSE companies.
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Income securities are, for the most part, actively managed, closed-end funds, investing in corporate and government fixed income securities, income paying real estate, energy royalties, tax exempt securities, etc. Multi level, and speculation heavy funds are avoided, and most will have long term distribution histories.
No open end Mutual Funds, index derivatives, hedge funds, or futures betting mechanisms are allowed inside any MCIM portfolio.
All securities must generate some form of regular income to qualify for inclusion in portfolios, and no security is ever permitted to become too large of a holding. Diversification is a major concern on an industry, or sector, level, but global diversication is a given with IGVSI companies.
Risk Minimization, The Essence of Market Cycle Investment Management
Risk is compounded by ignorance, multiplied by gimmickry, and exacerbated by emotion. It is halved with education, ameliorated with cost-based asset allocation, and managed with disciplined: selection quality, diversification, and income rules--- The QDI.
Risk minimization requires the identification of what's inside a portfolio. Risk control requires decision-making by the owner of the investment assets. Risk management requires a selection process from a universe of securities that meet a known set of qualitative standards.
The Market Cycle Investment Management methodology helps to minimize your financial risk in several ways:
- It creates an intellectual "fire wall" that precludes you from investing in excessively speculative products and processes.
- It focuses your decision making with clear rules for security selection, purchase price criteria, and profit-taking guidelines.
- Its cost based, Working Capital Model asset allocation operating system, assures you of constantly monitoring asset allocation while increasing your base income.
- It helps assure that poor diversification will not creep into your portfolio and that unproductive assets will be eliminated in a rational manner.
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